World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2022 at 5pm UK

New Zealand
4 - 0
Fiji

Wood (45', 73'), Just (71'), Lewis (90+3' pen.)
Pijnaker (29'), Just (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonerau (7'), Raju (65'), Krishna (65'), Alam (90+2')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Fiji win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Fiji
49.7%	21.94%	28.37%

Both teams to score 65.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.87%

34.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.98%

56.02%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84%

14.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16%

41.85%

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09%

57.92%

Score Analysis

New Zealand 49.7%

Fiji 28.37%

Draw 21.94%

New Zealand	Draw	Fiji
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.7%	1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.37%