World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Fiji
1 - 2
P. New Guinea

Waranaivalu (12')
Naresh (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kepo (45+2'), Semmy (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Fiji and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Fiji	Draw	Papua New Guinea
48.48%	25.27%	26.25%

Both teams to score 52.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16%

50.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28%

72.73%

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

20.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24%

53.76%

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.67%

Score Analysis

Fiji 48.47%

Papua New Guinea 26.25%

Draw 25.26%

Fiji	Draw	Papua New Guinea
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.47%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.25%