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Javin Wae
11'
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Alwin Hou
33'
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Alwin Hou
65'
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Raphael Lea'i
71'
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Alwin Komolong
23'
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Alwin Komolong
39'
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Tommy Semmy
76'
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Ati Kepo
88'
Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Solomon Islands Goals
Papua New Guinea Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 43.42%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.13%