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Solomon Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-finals
Mar 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Papua New Guinea national football team

Solomon Islands
3 - 2
P. New Guinea

Hou (33', 65'), Lea'i (71')
Wae (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Komolong (23'), Kepo (88')
Komolong (39'), Semmy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-5 New Zealand
Wednesday, March 30 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.

Result
Solomon IslandsDrawPapua New Guinea
43.42%23.45%33.13%
Both teams to score 62.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02%38.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7%61.29%
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67%18.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57%49.43%
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Score Analysis
    Solomon Islands 43.42%
    Papua New Guinea 33.13%
    Draw 23.44%
Solomon IslandsDrawPapua New Guinea
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Solomon Islands vs P. New Guinea

Solomon Islands
42.9%
Draw
19.0%
Papua New Guinea
38.1%
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