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Solomon Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-finals
Mar 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Papua New Guinea national football team

Solomon Islands
3 - 2
P. New Guinea

Hou (33', 65'), Lea'i (71')
Wae (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Komolong (23'), Kepo (88')
Komolong (39'), Semmy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-5 New Zealand
Wednesday, March 30 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: Solomon Islands 2-1 Papua New Guinea

With the stakes so high, we expect Sunday's contest to be a cagey affair and with the last two competitive meetings going the way of the Solomon Islands, we think that they will edge out Papua New Guinea on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.

Result
Solomon IslandsDrawPapua New Guinea
43.42%23.45%33.13%
Both teams to score 62.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02%38.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7%61.29%
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67%18.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57%49.43%
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Score Analysis
    Solomon Islands 43.42%
    Papua New Guinea 33.13%
    Draw 23.44%
Solomon IslandsDrawPapua New Guinea
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Solomon Islands vs P. New Guinea

Solomon Islands
42.9%
Draw
19.0%
Papua New Guinea
38.1%
21
rhs 2.0
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