World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-finals

Mar 27, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

New Zealand
1 - 0
Tahiti

Cacace (70')
Reid (32'), Cacace (51'), Greive (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Keck (7'), Heitaa (27'), Paama (90+2'), Bremond (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between New Zealand and Tahiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Tahiti

Last Game: New Zealand 1-0 Tahiti
Sunday, March 27 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Tahiti
52.7%	22.37%	24.93%

Both teams to score 60.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77%

39.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44%

61.56%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02%

14.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58%

43.42%

Tahiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29%

64.71%

Score Analysis

New Zealand 52.7%

Tahiti 24.93%

Draw 22.36%

New Zealand	Draw	Tahiti
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.01% Total : 52.7%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.93%