New Zealand vs Tahiti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.