Nations League
Sep 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 73' goal

Netherlands vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 2 Netherlands

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
Belgium 2 - 1 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result

Netherlands 45.45% (+0.97)
Draw 25.36% (+0.31)
Belgium 29.18% (-1.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.02% (-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.59% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 49.41% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 28.55% (-1.76)
Under 3.5 71.45% (+1.76)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 78.27% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 21.73% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 45.1% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 54.9% (+0.57)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 69.01% (-1.88)
Under 0.5 30.98% (+1.88)
Over 1.5 32.71% (-2.26)
Under 1.5 67.29% (+2.26)

Score analysis

Netherlands 45.45%
Draw 25.36%
Belgium 29.18%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 10.27% (+0.68)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.84% (+0.44)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 6.73% (+0.52)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
Belgium
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 3, 2022 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dries Mertens 47' yellowcard
  • Michy Batshuayi 90'+3' goal
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 40'
  • goal Memphis Depay 51'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 62'
  • goal Memphis Depay 66'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 89'
International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dries Mertens 5' goal
  • Dedryck Boyata 82' yellowcard
  • goal Arnaut Groeneveld 27'
  • yellowcard Tonny Vilhena 84'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 90'
International Friendlies
Nov 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Davy Klaassen 28' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen 38' goal
  • Joel Veltman 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 36'
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 60'
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 82'