UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
0 - 2
Netherlands

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	4	5	10
2	Belgium	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	-5	4
4	Wales	4	-3	1

Netherlands

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	4	5	10
2	Belgium	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	-5	4
4	Wales	4	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Poland had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Netherlands
26.76% ( 0.07)	23.55% ( -0.17)	49.7% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

0.82)

43.04% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

0.81)

65.44% (

-0.81)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.48)

29.48% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

0.59)

65.48% (

-0.59)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

0.35)

17.44% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

0.61)

47.9% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Poland 26.76%

Netherlands 49.7%

Draw 23.54%

Poland	Draw	Netherlands
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.76%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.7%