World Cup
Qatar
Nov 20, 2022 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Ecuador
  • goal Enner Valencia 16'
  • goal Enner Valencia 31'

Qatar vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Ecuador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result

Qatar 27.41% ▼ (-1.83)
Draw 27.67% ▼ (-0.30)
Ecuador 44.92% ▲ (+2.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.06% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.84% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 59.15% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 20.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 79.59% ▼ (-0.19)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 62.46% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 0.5 37.54% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 1.5 25.68% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 1.5 74.32% ▲ (+1.35)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 73.74% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 0.5 26.26% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 1.5 38.63% ▲ (+1.60)
Under 1.5 61.36% ▼ (-1.60)

Score analysis

Qatar 27.41%
Draw 27.67%
Ecuador 44.92%
Qatar
1-0 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.45)
2-1 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.67%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.52)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.36)
1-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.92%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Qatar
Oct 12, 2018 4.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium) (ad-Dōha (Doha))
Ecuador
  • Afif Akram 32' goal
  • Almoez Ali 36' goal
  • Bassam Hisham 38' yellowcard
  • Hasan Al Haydos 61' goal
  • Almoez Ali 68' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Palacios 31'
  • yellowcard Frickson Erazo 59'
  • goal Enner Valencia 66'
  • goal Enner Valencia 71'
  • redcard Frickson Erazo 73'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 77'
  • goal Jose Cevallos 89'
  • redcard Enner Valencia 90'

Form Data

Qatar 1 - 0 Albania
Qatar 2 - 1 Panama
Qatar 1 - 0 Honduras
Qatar 2 - 0 Guatemala
Chile 2 - 2 Qatar
Qatar 0 - 2 Canada
Ecuador 0 - 0 Iraq
Ecuador 0 - 0 Japan
Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Ecuador
Ecuador 1 - 0 Mali
Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador
Ecuador 1 - 0 Nigeria

Build-up

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