Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.