International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2022 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
  • Akram Afif 59' goal
  • Hassan Al Heidos 67' goal
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 37'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 78'

Chile vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 8.00pm
Morocco 2 - 0 Chile

Qatar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 6.00pm
Qatar 0 - 2 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Chile 43.92% (+0.05)
Draw 25.71% (-0.01)
Qatar 30.38% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.69% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.31% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.26% (-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 77.18% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.83% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.45% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.55% (-0.05)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 69.4% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.6% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chile 43.91%
Draw 25.7%
Qatar 30.38%
Chile
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 43.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
Qatar
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.38%