International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Chile
2 - 2
Qatar

Afif (59'), Al Heidos (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sanchez (37'), Vidal (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Chile and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Chile
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Canada
Friday, September 23 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	9
2	Argentina	3	0	4
3	Paraguay	3	-1	2
4	Qatar	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Qatar
43.92% ( 0.04)	25.71% ( -0.01)	30.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

0.02)

50.31% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.02)

72.26% (

-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.03)

22.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

0.05)

56.55% (

-0.04)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.01)

30.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0.01)

66.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chile 43.91%

Qatar 30.38%

Draw 25.7%

Chile	Draw	Qatar
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.38%