Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.