Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.01%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.96%).