International Friendly

Sep 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Al Salam Stadium

Morocco
2 - 0
Chile

Boufal (66' pen.), Sabiri (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Morocco and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Qatar 2-2 Morocco
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Chile

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Chile
61.62% ( -0.08)	21.22% ( 0.06)	17.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.58% (

-0.24)

44.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

-0.24)

66.79% (

0.24)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11% (

-0.1)

13.89% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.69% (

-0.2)

41.3% (

0.2)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.68% (

-0.13)

39.32% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

-0.12)

76.02% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Morocco 61.62%

Chile 17.15%

Draw 21.22%

Morocco	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 61.62%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.22%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.15%