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Netherlands national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Ecuador national football team

Netherlands
1 - 1
Ecuador

Gakpo (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Valencia (49')

The Match

Match Report

Ecuador earn a deserved 1-1 draw with Netherlands in their Group A fixture at the World Cup in Al Rayyan.

Team News

Louis van Gaal makes three changes to his Netherlands XI for Friday's game with Ecuador.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Netherlands and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Ecuador could line up in their World Cup contest with the Netherlands on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Senegal 0-2 Netherlands
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawEcuador
51.85% (-0.46 -0.46)25.5% (-0.346 -0.35)22.65% (0.81 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.89% (1.901 1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35% (2.006 2.01)54.65% (-2.002 -2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (1.638 1.64)75.98% (-1.634 -1.63)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.62599999999999 0.63)21.1% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.963 0.96)53.93% (-0.96 -0.96)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (1.945 1.95)39.3% (-1.941 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (1.77 1.77)76.01% (-1.767 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 51.84%
    Ecuador 22.65%
    Draw 25.5%
NetherlandsDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.78 -0.78)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.186 0.19)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.667 -0.67)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.153 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Ecuador

Netherlands
73.9%
Draw
16.8%
Ecuador
9.2%
748
Head to Head
May 17, 2014 7.30pm
Netherlands
1-1
Ecuador
Van Persie (37')
Montero (9')
Valencia (16')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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