World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 4pm UK
Netherlands1 - 1Ecuador
The Match
Match Report
Ecuador earn a deserved 1-1 draw with Netherlands in their Group A fixture at the World Cup in Al Rayyan.
Team News
Louis van Gaal makes three changes to his Netherlands XI for Friday's game with Ecuador.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Netherlands and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Ecuador could line up in their World Cup contest with the Netherlands on Friday.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup
Last Game: Senegal 0-2 Netherlands
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Senegal | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 1 | -2 | 0 |
World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Senegal | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Ecuador |
51.85% ( -0.46) | 25.5% ( -0.35) | 22.65% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
