Ivory Coast national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
Senegal national football team

Ivory Coast
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ndiaye (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Ivory Coast and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ivory Coast
Saturday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Senegal

All competitions
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Senegal
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Senegal win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawSenegal
42.94% (0.067 0.07)26.94% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)30.11% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)55.33% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (0.061999999999998 0.06)76.55% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.067999999999998 0.07)25.52% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.095999999999997 0.1)60.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 42.94%
    Senegal 30.11%
    Draw 26.94%
Ivory CoastDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.94%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.11%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Senegal

Ivory Coast
26.2%
Draw
45.2%
Senegal
28.6%
42