African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Olympique de Nouakchott

Mauritania
1 - 0
Mali

Sy (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Mauritania and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Mali

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 37.46%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.74%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (13.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Mali
29.62% ( -0.74)	32.91% ( 0.2)	37.46% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 34.68% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

26.58% (

-0.56)

73.42% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

10.65% (

-0.33)

89.34% (

0.34)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.03% (

-0.95)

43.96% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

-0.79)

80.09% (

0.79)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9% (

0.04)

38.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13% (

0.04)

74.86% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 29.62%

Mali 37.46%

Draw 32.9%

Mauritania	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.62%	0-0 @ 16.74% ( 0.34) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 32.9%	0-1 @ 16.16% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.46%