African Nations Championship
Jan 24, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique de Nouakchott
  • Mamadou Sy 53' goal

Mauritania vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last game
Jan 20, 2023 4.00pm
Angola 0 - 0 Mauritania

Mali

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last game
Jan 16, 2023 4.00pm
Mali 3 - 3 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 37.46%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.74%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (13.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result

Mauritania 29.62% (-0.74)
Draw 32.91% (+0.20)
Mali 37.46% (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.68% (-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 26.58% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 73.42% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 10.65% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 89.34% (+0.34)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 56.03% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 43.96% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 19.9% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 80.09% (+0.80)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.1% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.86% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Mauritania 29.62%
Draw 32.9%
Mali 37.46%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 29.62%
Draw
0-0 @ 16.74% (+0.34)
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 32.9%
Mali
0-1 @ 16.16% (+0.35)
0-2 @ 7.8% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.51% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.46%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Aug 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya
International Friendlies
Aug 15, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Massadio Haidara 2' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 49' goal
  • Yves Bissouma 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aly Abeid 48'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Thiam 78'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 24, 2019 9.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Suez Stadium
  • Moussa Djenepo 31' yellowcard
  • Abdoulay Diaby 37' goal
  • Moussa Marega 45' goal
  • Adama Traore 55' goal
  • Mamadou Fofana 71' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 74' goal
  • yellowcard Bakary N'Diaye 19'
  • goal Moctar El Hacen 72'
  • yellowcard Brahim Souleymane 79'
  • yellowcard Moustapha Diaw 84'