International Friendly

Sep 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

New Suez Stadium

Mali
1 - 0
Zambia

Bilal Toure (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mali and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Mali 0-0 Guinea
Monday, August 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Zambia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Zambia
51.92% ( -0.03)	24.81% ( 0.09)	23.27% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0.39)

51.43% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

-0.34)

73.24% (

0.34)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-0.17)

19.79% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.15% (

-0.27)

51.85% (

0.27)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

-0.27)

36.91% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

-0.27)

73.7% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Mali 51.92%

Zambia 23.27%

Draw 24.8%

Mali	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.27%