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Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Sudan national football team

Gabon
1 - 0
Sudan

Palun (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Gabon and Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Gabon
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gabon in this match.

Result
GabonDrawSudan
52.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)28.54% (0.029 0.03)19.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 36.28% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.61% (-0.16 -0.16)67.39% (0.16000000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.47% (-0.111 -0.11)85.53% (0.11 0.11)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)26.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)61.59% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.3% (-0.224 -0.22)50.7% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.87% (-0.154 -0.15)85.14% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 52.4%
    Sudan 19.05%
    Draw 28.53%
GabonDrawSudan
1-0 @ 17.82% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 52.4%
0-0 @ 13.39% (0.08 0.08)
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 19.05%

How you voted: Gabon vs Sudan

Gabon
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
Sudan
11.8%
17