African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

Ohene Djan Sports Stadium

Ghana
3 - 1
Sudan

Yiadom (45+3'), Afriyie (64'), Suraj (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nooh (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's African Nations Championship clash between Ghana and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Ghana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Sudan

All competitions

Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Sudan
Tuesday, January 3 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Sudan
66.17% ( 0.01)	21.21% ( -0.04)	12.62% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 41.59% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

0.21)

52.95% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

0.18)

74.55% (

-0.18)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

0.07)

15.23% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.1% (

0.14)

43.9% (

-0.14)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.06% (

0.18)

50.94% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.7% (

0.12)

85.3% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Ghana 66.16%

Sudan 12.62%

Draw 21.21%

Ghana	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 66.16%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 12.62%