Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.79%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
14.31% ( -0.01)	24.48% ( -0.05)	61.21% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 37.45% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.89% (

0.15)

61.11% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.92% (

0.11)

81.07% (

-0.11)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.77% (

0.08)

53.22% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.21% (

0.05)

86.79% (

-0.05)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

0.09)

19.93% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

0.14)

52.08% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 14.31%

Ghana 61.21%

Draw 24.47%

Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.31%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 17.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 13.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.21%