African Nations Championship
Jan 15, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
  • Solomampionona Razafindranaivo 10' goal
  • Tokinantenaina Randriatsiferana 61' goal
  • goal Augustine Agyapong 67'

Madagascar vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

Ghana

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.79%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Madagascar 14.31% (-0.01)
Draw 24.48% (-0.06)
Ghana 61.21% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.45% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.89% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 61.11% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 18.92% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 81.07% (-0.12)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 46.77% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 53.22% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 13.21% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 86.79% (-0.06)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 80.07% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 19.93% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 47.92% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.08% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Madagascar 14.31%
Draw 24.47%
Ghana 61.21%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.47%
Ghana
0-1 @ 17.11% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 13.79% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.21%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 1, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohammed Kudus 53' goal
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 56' goal
  • Osman Bukari 86' goal
  • Daniel Amartey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerome Mombris 65'