Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 6.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.38%) and 3-0 (11.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.