International Friendlies
Sep 23, 2022 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Marquinhos 9' goal
  • Richarlison 28' goal
  • Richarlison 40' goal

Brazil vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 11, 2022 12.00pm
Brazil 0 - 0 Argentina

Ghana

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Aug 23, 2022 5.30pm
Qatar 2 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.38%) and 3-0 (11.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result

Brazil 73.48% (-0.02)
Draw 20.49% (-0.04)
Ghana 6.03% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

22.62% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.6% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 65.4% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 15.83% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 84.17% (-0.16)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 82.89% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 17.11% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 52.68% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 47.32% (-0.14)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 27.29% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 72.71% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 4.12% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 95.88% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Brazil 73.45%
Draw 20.49%
Ghana 6.03%
Brazil
1-0 @ 21.96% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 19.38% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 11.4% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.18% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.64% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 73.45%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.10)
1-1 @ 7% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.49%
Ghana
0-1 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 6.03%