World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Dec 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ghana
0 - 2
Uruguay

FT(HT: 0-2)

De Arrascaeta (26', 32')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Ghana
Tuesday, November 18 at 11am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Uruguay

All competitions

Last Game: USA 5-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 19 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Ghana win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Uruguay
25.12% ( -0.33)	26.12% ( -0.05)	48.76% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

-0.02)

54.95% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-0.02)

76.23% (

0.02)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

-0.3)

37.19% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.3)

73.98% (

0.3)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

0.16)

22.56% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

0.24)

56.16% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Ghana 25.12%

Uruguay 48.76%

Draw 26.11%

Ghana	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.12%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.76%