Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Uruguay
46.8% ( 2.1)	23.66% ( -0.35)	29.54% ( -1.75)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

0.74)

41.67% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93% (

0.75)

64.07% (

-0.75)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

1.15)

18.04% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

1.94)

48.93% (

-1.94)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.76)

26.81% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-1.01)

62.1% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Canada 46.8%

Uruguay 29.54%

Draw 23.66%

Canada	Draw	Uruguay
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.67% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.54%