Portugal vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.