UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Portugal
0 - 1
Spain

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Czech Republic 0-4 Portugal
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	9	10
2	Spain	5	2	8
3	Switzerland	5	-4	6
4	Czech Republic	5	-7	4

Spain

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Spain 1-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	9	10
2	Spain	5	2	8
3	Switzerland	5	-4	6
4	Czech Republic	5	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Spain
41.81% ( -0.02)	24.52% ( -0.23)	33.66% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

1.11)

43.93% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

1.08)

66.32% (

-1.08)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

0.46)

21.09% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

0.72)

53.92% (

-0.73)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.67)

25.34% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

0.92)

60.13% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Portugal 41.81%

Spain 33.66%

Draw 24.51%

Portugal	Draw	Spain
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.66%