/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
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Alvaro Morata
88'
Portugal vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fporcze_2.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F40%2Fitaspa.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result
Portugal
41.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
24.52%
▼
(-0.23)
Spain
33.66%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
58.9%
▲
(+0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.06%
▲
(+1.12)
Under 2.5
43.93%
▼
(-1.12)
Over 3.5
33.68%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 3.5
66.32%
▼
(-1.09)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
78.9%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
21.09%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 1.5
46.07%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
53.92%
▼
(-0.73)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
74.65%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
25.34%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 1.5
39.86%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
60.13%
▼
(-0.93)
Score analysis
Portugal
41.81%
Draw
24.51%
Spain
33.66%
Portugal
2-1
@
8.89%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.81%
1-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
Spain
1-2
@
7.84%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 33.66%
0-1 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 33.66%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F23%2Fporisra.JPG)