UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Spain
1 - 1
Portugal

Morata (25')
Sarabia (37'), Llorente (72'), Busquets (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Horta (82')
Moutinho (38'), Silva (39'), Nunes (84'), Pepe (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Spain and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

Last Six:

Last Game: Switzerland 0-1 Spain
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Spain vs. Czech Republic
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	6	7
2	Spain	3	1	5
3	Czech Republic	3	-1	4
4	Switzerland	3	-6	0

Portugal

Last Six:

Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Switzerland vs. Portugal
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	6	7
2	Spain	3	1	5
3	Czech Republic	3	-1	4
4	Switzerland	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Spain had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Portugal
36.43% ( 0.04)	25.88% ( -0.01)	37.68% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

0.03)

49.64% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

0.03)

71.66% (

-0.03)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

0.04)

26.42% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

0.05)

61.59% (

-0.05)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

-0)

25.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0)

60.65% (

Score Analysis

Spain 36.43%

Portugal 37.68%

Draw 25.88%

Spain	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.68%