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Portugal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Mar 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Turkey national football team

Portugal
3 - 1
Turkey

Otavio (15'), Jota (42'), Nunes (90+4')
Jota (35'), Moutinho (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yilmaz (65')
Celik (35'), Calhanoglu (69'), Demiral (76'), Tokoz (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Portugal advance to the World Cup playoff final courtesy of a 3-1 win over Turkey in their semi-final contest in Porto.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Portugal and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's World Cup 2022 Qualifying playoff semi-final against Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

Last Six:
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Switzerland
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Portugal vs. Czech Republic
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawTurkey
50.56%22.88%26.56%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89%40.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52%62.47%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96%16.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.61%45.39%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25%63.75%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 50.56%
    Turkey 26.57%
    Draw 22.87%
PortugalDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-1 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 26.57%

How you voted: Portugal vs Turkey

Portugal
81.3%
Turkey
18.8%
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