World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Finals

Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Portugal
2 - 0
N. Macedonia

Fernandes (32', 65')
Cancelo (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Musliu (68'), Alioski (74')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

Last Six:

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Switzerland
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Portugal vs. Czech Republic
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	4	4
2	Czech Republic	2	1	4
3	Spain	2	0	2
4	Switzerland	2	-5	0

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League

Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result
Portugal	Draw	North Macedonia
58.67%	21.64%	19.69%

Both teams to score 55.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.76%

42.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35%

64.64%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91%

14.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.3%

41.7%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79%

35.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03%

71.96%

Score Analysis

Portugal 58.67%

North Macedonia 19.69%

Draw 21.63%

Portugal	Draw	North Macedonia
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.67%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 5.3% 0-1 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.69%