World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2021 at 5pm UK

N. Macedonia
3 - 1
Iceland

Alioski (7'), Elmas (65', 87')
Dimitrievski (29'), Kostadinov (45+1'), Elmas (73'), Miovski (83'), Ristovski (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dagur Thorsteinsson (54')
Ingi Bjarnason (29'), Teitur Thordarson (64'), Bergmann Johannesson (68'), Aron Gudjohnsen (72')
Bergmann Johannesson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between North Macedonia and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Iceland
50.15%	25.57%	24.27%

Both teams to score 49.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.06%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62%

21.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64%

54.36%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.83%

37.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04%

73.95%

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 50.14%

Iceland 24.27%

Draw 25.57%

North Macedonia	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 50.14%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.27%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Iceland

North Macedonia

70.5%

Draw

19.7%

Iceland

9.8%