World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2021 at 5pm UK

Iceland
2 - 2
N. Macedonia

Ingi Bjarnason (78'), Lucas Guojohnsen (84')
Mar Saevarsson (42'), Gudmundsson (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Velkovski (11'), Alioski (54')
Ristovski (57'), Miovski (89'), Jahovic (89'), Spirovski (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Iceland and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 38.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.91%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	North Macedonia
38.74%	21.91%	39.35%

Both teams to score 69.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.87%

30.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.65%

51.35%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41%

16.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61%

46.39%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66%

16.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06%

45.93%

Score Analysis

Iceland 38.74%

North Macedonia 39.35%

Draw 21.91%

Iceland	Draw	North Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.51% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 7.18% 0-0 @ 2.71% 3-3 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.62% Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Iceland vs N. Macedonia

Iceland

26.2%

Draw

18.3%

North Macedonia

55.6%