Italy vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.