Northern Ireland vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.52%) and 0-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.