World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

N. Ireland
1 - 0
Lithuania

Satkus (17' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barauskas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Northern Ireland and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Lithuania
49.22%	25.35%	25.42%

Both teams to score 51.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21%

51.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44%

73.55%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94%

21.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14%

53.86%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8%

35.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04%

71.95%

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 49.22%

Lithuania 25.42%

Draw 25.35%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.42%