Northern Ireland vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match.