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World Cup

Bulgaria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Lithuania national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 0
Lithuania

Chochev (82')
Iliev (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jankauskas (80'), Cernych (89'), Simkus (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawLithuania
48.32%20.9%30.78%
Both teams to score 71.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.66%27.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.08%47.92%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86%12.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27%37.73%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05%18.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53%50.47%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 48.32%
    Lithuania 30.78%
    Draw 20.9%
BulgariaDrawLithuania
2-1 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.97%
1-0 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-3 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 7.08%
3-3 @ 2.76%
0-0 @ 2.3%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.71%
2-3 @ 3.92%
0-1 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 1.55%
3-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Lithuania

Bulgaria
89.4%
Draw
7.1%
Lithuania
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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