World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 9, 2021 at 2pm UK

LFF Stadium, Vilnius

Lithuania
3 - 1
Bulgaria

Lasickas (18'), Cernych (82', 84')
Vaitkunas (13'), Lasickas (48'), Laukzemis (62'), Novikovas (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Despodov (64')
Antov (29'), Vitanov (46'), Yomov (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Lithuania and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Bulgaria
32.98%	27.52%	39.5%

Both teams to score 48.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.27%

56.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.32%

77.68%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93%

32.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46%

68.54%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Score Analysis

Lithuania 32.98%

Bulgaria 39.49%

Draw 27.52%

Lithuania	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.98%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Bulgaria

Lithuania

17.3%

Draw

17.3%

Bulgaria

65.4%