World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Lithuania3 - 1Bulgaria
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
32.98% | 27.52% | 39.5% |
Both teams to score 48.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.27% | 56.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.32% | 77.68% |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% | 32.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% | 68.54% |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% | 63.68% |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 32.98%
Bulgaria 39.49%
Draw 27.52%
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.49% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Bulgaria
Lithuania
17.3%Draw
17.3%Bulgaria
65.4%81
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
1-0
Lithuania
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-27 02:05:33
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Cirstea
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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