Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.