Nations League
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-
William Carvalho
3'
-
Joao Cancelo
33'
-
Goncalo Guedes
38'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
52'
-
Rafael Leao
87'
-
Joao Cancelo
90'
-
Tomas Soucek
24'
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Ales Mateju
35'
Portugal vs Czech Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Portugal
63.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
21.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Czech Republic
14.73%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.55%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.76%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
49.24%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
28.7%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
71.3%
▲
(+0.09)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
85.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
14.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
57.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
42.94%
▲
(+0.05)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5
54.59%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
45.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
18.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
81.25%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Portugal
63.92%
Draw
21.33%
Czech Republic
14.73%
Portugal
1-0
@
12.8%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 63.92%
2-0 @ 12.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 63.92%
Draw
1-1
@
10.11%
0-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.33%
0-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.33%
Czech Republic
0-1
@
5.28%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.73%
1-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.73%