/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
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Bruno Fernandes
9'
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Bruno Fernandes
35'
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Goncalo Ramos
82'
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Joao Mario
84'
Portugal vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fcristiano-ronaldo_1.jpeg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fbruno-fernandes.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Portugal
63.31%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
21.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Nigeria
15.58%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
49.18%
▼
(-0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.23%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
46.76%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
30.97%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 3.5
69.02%
▲
(+0.35)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
85.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
14.12%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
58.23%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
41.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
57.27%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
42.73%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
20.94%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
79.06%
▲
(+0.42)
Score analysis
Portugal
63.3%
Draw
21.11%
Nigeria
15.58%
Portugal
1-0
@
11.81%
▲
(+0.17)
2-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 63.3%
2-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 63.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.04%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.11%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.11%
Nigeria
0-1
@
5.13%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.58%
1-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.58%