International Friendly

Nov 10, 2022 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
2 - 0
Nigeria

Duarte (7'), Waston (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Costa Rica and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 27 at 7am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Costa Rica	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Spain	0	0	0
4	Japan	0	0	0

Nigeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Algeria 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Nigeria
39.93% ( -0.19)	25.05% ( -0.03)	35.01% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

0.19)

46.08% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

0.18)

68.38% (

-0.18)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.01)

22.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-0.02)

56.69% (

0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.22)

25.57% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

0.3)

60.44% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 39.93%

Nigeria 35.01%

Draw 25.05%

Costa Rica	Draw	Nigeria
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.93%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.01%