Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.