African Nations Championship
Jan 31, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pape Diallo 5' goal

Senegal vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Madagascar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 7.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.03%) and 3-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.38%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result

Senegal 73.13% (+0.32)
Draw 19.73% (-0.03)
Madagascar 7.14% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

27.92% (-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.46% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 60.54% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 19.35% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 80.65% (+0.49)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 84.49% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 15.51% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 55.58% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 44.42% (+0.22)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 33.04% (-1.12)
Under 0.5 66.96% (+1.12)
Over 1.5 6.18% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 93.82% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Senegal 73.12%
Draw 19.72%
Madagascar 7.14%
Senegal
1-0 @ 19.35% (+0.40)
2-0 @ 18.03% (+0.30)
3-0 @ 11.2% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.19)
4-0 @ 5.22% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 73.12%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.38% (+0.25)
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 1.45% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.72%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 1.56% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 7.14%