Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 7.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.03%) and 3-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.38%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.