African Nations Championship
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Morocco vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 6.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.47%) and 3-0 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.5%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result
Morocco
76.44%
▼
(-0.57)
Draw
17.32%
▲
(+0.47)
Madagascar
6.24%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
29.32%
▼
(-0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.71%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 2.5
55.28%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 3.5
23.49%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 3.5
76.5%
▲
(+1.12)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5
87.19%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
12.81%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
60.87%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 1.5
39.13%
▲
(+1.17)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
33.62%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
66.37%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
6.42%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
93.58%
▲
(+0.21)
Score analysis
Morocco
76.43%
Draw
17.32%
Madagascar
6.24%
Morocco
2-0
@
17.95%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 17.47% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 12.29% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 76.43%
1-0 @ 17.47% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 12.29% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 76.43%
Draw
0-0
@
8.5%
▲
(+0.44)
1-1 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.32%
1-1 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.32%
Madagascar
0-1
@
3.48%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 6.24%
1-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 6.24%