World Cup
Dec 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nayef Aguerd 40' goal
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 4'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 23'

Canada vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 4.00pm
Croatia 4 - 1 Canada

Morocco

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 1.00pm
Belgium 0 - 2 Morocco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result

Canada 34.24% (-0.03)
Draw 26.37% (+0.18)
Morocco 39.39% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.04% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 51.95% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 26.3% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 73.7% (+0.64)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 28.85% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 35.28% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 64.72% (+0.47)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 74.14% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 25.85% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 39.17% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 60.82% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Canada 34.24%
Draw 26.37%
Morocco 39.39%
Canada
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.46% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.37%
Morocco
0-1 @ 10.09% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.83% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.39%

Build-up

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