Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.