Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.