Croatia vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.