Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.