Nations League | League A
Jun 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Croatia 2-1 Austria
Rangnick will be desperate to get off to the perfect start as head coach of Austria, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Friday. Croatia have a lot of quality, though, especially in midfield, and we believe that the home side will claim a narrow success in this contest.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.46% . A win for Austria had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.52%) . The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood .
Result Croatia Draw Austria 50.46% ( 0.08) 24.1% ( -0.01) 25.45% ( -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.05)
53.44% ( -0.03) 46.55% ( 0.02)
31.17% ( -0.02) 68.83% ( 0.02)
81.51% ( 0.02) 18.48% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.31% ( 0.04) 49.69% ( -0.04)
67.64% ( -0.08) 32.36% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.13% ( -0.09) 68.87% ( 0.08)
Croatia 50.45%
Austria 25.45%
Draw 24.09%
Croatia Draw Austria 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.45% 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.45%
How you voted: Croatia vs Austria
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