/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
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Duje Caleta-Car
74'
-
Xaver Schlager
30'
-
Marko Arnautovic
41'
-
Michael Gregoritsch
54'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
57'
Croatia vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F25%2Fcrosco.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result
Croatia
50.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
24.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Austria
25.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
55.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
46.55%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
31.17%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
68.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
81.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
18.48%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
50.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
49.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
67.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
32.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
31.13%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
68.87%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Croatia
50.45%
Draw
24.09%
Austria
25.45%
Croatia
1-0
@
10.09%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.45%
2-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
Austria
0-1
@
6.75%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.45%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.45%