Croatia vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.24%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.13%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Croatia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Croatia.