World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2021 at 2pm UK

Croatia
1 - 0
Russia

Kudryashov (81' og.)
Livaja (90'), Grbic (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Golovin (51'), Smolov (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Croatia and Russia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Russia had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Russia win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Russia
40.38%	26.88%	32.74%

Both teams to score 50.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.7%

54.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.31%

75.68%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.55%

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69%

30.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7%

67.29%

Score Analysis

Croatia 40.37%

Russia 32.74%

Draw 26.87%

Croatia	Draw	Russia
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Croatia vs Russia

Croatia

66.4%

Draw

23.2%

Russia

10.5%