/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
-
Domagoj Vida
21'
-
Andrej Kramaric
83'
-
Adrien Rabiot
52'
-
Presnel Kimpembe
85'
Croatia vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F12%2Fdidier-deschamps.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F41%2Fraphael-varane.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result
Croatia
19.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
23.33%
▲
(+0.01)
France
57.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.99%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
50.01%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
28.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
71.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
59.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
40.12%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
23.23%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
76.77%
▲
(+0.08)
France Goals
Over 0.5
82.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
52.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
47.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Croatia
19.31%
Draw
23.33%
France
57.35%
Croatia
1-0
@
6.3%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.31%
2-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.31%
Draw
1-1
@
11.09%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
France
0-1
@
12.14%
▲
(+0.03)
0-2 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 57.35%
0-2 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 57.35%
Head to Head
-
Clement Lenglet
38'
-
Antoine Griezmann
43'
-
Dominik Livakovic
45'+1'
-
N'Golo Kante
59'
-
Dayot Upamecano
65'
-
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi
68'
-
Olivier Giroud
77'
-
Dejan Lovren
17'
-
Duje Caleta-Car
34'
-
Josip Brekalo
55'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
76'
-
Dejan Lovren
76'