International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 1.40pm UK

BMO Field

Japan
1 - 2
Canada

Soma (9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vitoria (21'), Cavallini (90+5' pen.)

Reaction

Canada coach John Herdman during the match in September 2022

Canada come from behind to beat Japan in World Cup warm-up match

Canada come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Japan in Thursday's World Cup warm-up fixture at the Al-Maktoum Stadium in Dubai.

Nov 17, 15:53

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Canada and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Belgium	0	0	0
4	Canada	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Costa Rica	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Spain	0	0	0
4	Japan	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Canada
47.47% ( -0.17)	25.48% ( 0.03)	27.04% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83% (

-0.02)

51.17% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.02)

73.02% (

0.02)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

-0.09)

21.56% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-0.13)

54.65% (

0.13)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

0.1)

33.54% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

0.11)

70.18% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Japan 47.47%

Canada 27.04%

Draw 25.48%

Japan	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.47%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.04%