International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 1.40pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field
  • Yuki Soma 9' goal
  • goal Steven Vitoria 21'
  • goal Lucas Cavallini 90'+5'

Japan vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 12.55pm
Ecuador 0 - 0 Japan

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 11, 2022 3.30pm
Bahrain 2 - 2 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result

Japan 47.47% (-0.18)
Draw 25.48% (+0.03)
Canada 27.04% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.13% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.83% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 51.17% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.98% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.02% (+0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 78.44% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 21.56% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 45.35% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 54.65% (+0.14)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 66.46% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 33.54% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 29.82% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 70.18% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Japan 47.47%
Draw 25.48%
Canada 27.04%
Japan
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 47.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.48%
Canada
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.04%